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An American Retreat from Syria Will Bring Disaster

Dec. 21 2018

In the last days it has been confidently reported that the U.S. will withdraw all of its forces from Syria—effectively handing the country over to Russia and Iran, except for a small portion that might remain under Turkish influence. The president himself declared on Twitter, “We have defeated Islamic State in Syria, my only reason for being there during the Trump presidency.” But, writes Noah Rothman, Islamic State (IS) is not defeated, and a precipitous American withdrawal will likely have the same consequences as Barack Obama’s precipitous withdrawal from Iraq:

[Islamic State] maintains a stronghold in the Middle Euphrates River Valley and regularly exports terrorism [to other parts of Syria, as well as to] Iraq and elsewhere in the region. As recently as late November, coalition forces “repelled a coordinated attack by IS elements” near Deir ez-Zour. American forces conducted over 200 air and artillery strikes in Syria between December 8 and 15 alone.

Though the mission’s deputy commanding general insists that the estimated 2,000 IS forces operating in the area are “not enough” to make “significant or lasting gains,” Islamic State and al-Qaeda affiliates in Syria are poised to reconstitute their forces in rural and remote areas where they represent the only stabilizing sources of authority. . . .

Almost exactly seven years ago, another president executed another popular withdrawal of Americans soldiers from a fragile post-conflict country. Then as now, that country’s central government did not have total control over [all of its territory] and the political consensus necessary to preserve the peace did not exist, but none of that mattered at the time. There were campaign-trail promises to fulfill. Not three years later, American troops were back on the ground in Iraq expending precious blood and treasure to reclaim ground they’d held only months earlier. Conditions in Syria are far less stable than they were in Iraq when IS poured over the border, capturing ancient cities and routing Iraqi forces.

We may soon find ourselves back in Syria, too. And if history repeats, it will be when our hands are forced amid a terrible reckoning with the mistake we made today.

Read more at Commentary

More about: Al Qaeda, Donald Trump, Iran, ISIS, Politics & Current Affairs, Syrian civil war, U.S. Foreign policy

The Summary: 10/7/20

Two extraordinary events demonstrate something important about Israel’s most fervent adversaries. One was a speech given at something called The People’s Forum (funded generously by Goldman Sachs), which stated, “When the state of Israel is finally destroyed and erased from history, that will be the single most important blow we can give to destroying capitalism and imperialism.”

The suggestion that this tiny state is the linchpin of a global, centuries-old phenomenon like capitalism goes well beyond anything resembling rational criticism. Even if Israel were guilty of genocide, apartheid, and oppression—which of course it is not—it would not follow that its destruction would help end capitalism or imperialism.

The other was an anti-Israel protest that took place in front of New York City’s Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, deemed “complicit” in Israel’s evils. At organizers’ urging, participants shouted their slogans at kids in the cancer ward, who were watching from the windows. Given Hamas’s indifference toward the lives of Gazan children, such callousness toward non-Palestinian children from Hamas’s Western allies shouldn’t be surprising. The protest—like the abovementioned speech—deliberately conveyed the message that Israel is the ultimate evil and its destruction the ultimate good, cancer patients be damned.

The fact that Israel’s adversaries are almost comically perverse does not mean that they can be dismissed. If its allies fail to understand the obsessive and irrational hatred that it faces, they cannot effectively help it defend itself.

Read more at Mosaic